Preview
I see enormous value in this line and the current odds and I will try to explain why.
Ukraine’s results in the opening two rounds of Group I were heavily influenced by the absence of their two NBA players, Shulha (Boston Celtics) and Mykhailiuk (Utah Jazz). Since their arrival, Ukraine have completely changed their level and are now on a three-game winning streak, beating Georgia 95:76, Denmark 99:69 and Greece 82:76.
The two NBA players are obviously a major factor, but Ukraine are far from being a two-man team. They have a well-balanced and compact roster, with players such as Kovliar (Buducnost) and Skapintsev (Hapoel Jerusalem) adding quality and depth.
Most importantly, this is a team that has been playing together for a long time under a coach who knows the players extremely well. Ukraine have developed a clear identity, playing aggressively on both ends of the floor. Their defensive intensity allows them to force turnovers and immediately transition into fast-break opportunities.
Montenegro showed serious problems in the second half of their latest match against Georgia. They stayed competitive for three quarters but completely collapsed in the final period, eventually suffering a heavy 101:74 defeat.
Compared with their squad from July, Montenegro are also missing rotation players Živanović and Anđušić. Following the European Championship, the national team has entered a period of generational transition, with established stars Nikola Vučević, Vladimir Mihailović and Allman stepping away from the national team.
The difference in current quality, experience and continuity is significant. Ukraine are playing with confidence, have their two NBA stars available and are clearly the better team at the moment.